Wang, Yueze: a free and democratic China is not too far away
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Date: 5/28/2013 3:22:56 PM
Sender: Wang, Yueze
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Wang, Yueze: a free and democratic China is not too far away
王跃泽（Wang, Yueze）
Although there is no strict rule of human development, can not accurately predict the future, but there are always some historical context can refer to.
According to recent experience of authoritarian countries in transition towards democracy, although the CCP tyranny currently does not seem to begin to rot, will not collapse immediately, but the history has proved that the democratic transformation may be sudden appear.
Because, along with economic development, created a strong middle class, in order to protect their own basic human rights and personal property, requires the establishment of a democratic legal system, the implementation of constitutional politics, which formed a powerful force for change.
In addition, the dispersion of economic development resources in the hands of the central government, civil society organizations (business associations) have no previous financial technology, social mobilization, and moral authority, which has the power of blackmail against the authoritarian government. In this case, the erosion of the foundation dictatorship, the surface may not be defeated like, but sitting on the stress-filled crater, ready to erupt.
Sudden regime collapse caused mainly includes three major crisis situations: severe economic collapse, such as the collapse of the property market or currency Kuangbian, foreign war broke out the people losing discontent social group events ripple suppression costs are too high.
After the above situation, the hearts of the people dissatisfied with the Government＇s long-term backlog quickly broke out, the herd instinct form a broad political uprising, it seems very stable overnight authoritarian regimes will lose legitimacy, or even collapse, so there are many precedents, so CPC surface seems to sit back and relax now, but the internal contradictions, these large-scale social crisis situations that may arise at any time, almost gravely ill dictatorship, democracy and freedom in China is not too far away.
Wang, Yueze
May 28, 2013
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