Xiang, Bin: China can maintain a long-party system
|
|
Date: 5/16/2013 5:51:45 PM
Sender: Xiang, Bin
|
Xiang, Bin: China can maintain a long-party system
项斌（Xiang, Bin）
Chinese one-party system will be replaced by democratic institutions.
First, economic development and social progress. Overall, the level of economic and social development of the higher, the more difficult the authoritarian regime survival. Second, the authoritarian regime of political crisis. Factors that led to this political crisis has many: poor economic performance (including the economic crisis), military defeat, the dictator＇s death, civil protest, repression cost is too high.
Once the crisis, authoritarian ruling elite internally differentiated, appear hardliners and reformists. Hardliners would advocate maintaining the status quo, the status quo can not be maintained reformers think that only reform can save the authoritarian regime.
This is an authoritarian regime in the internal struggle, if the reformers win, there will be political liberalization, which has taken the first step in the democratic transition.
Xiang, Bin
May 16, 2013
|
|
| |
